Online Public Access Catalogue (OPAC)
Library,Documentation and Information Science Division

“A research journal serves that narrow

borderland which separates the known from the unknown”

-P.C.Mahalanobis


Normal view MARC view ISBD view

Global demographic change and its implications for military power [electronic resource] / Martin C. Libicki, Howard J. Shatz, Julie E. Taylor.

By: Libicki, Martin C.
Contributor(s): Shatz, Howard J | Taylor, Julie E, 1968- | Rand Corporation | Project Air Force (U.S.).
Material type: TextTextSeries: Rand Corporation monograph series: MG-1091-AF.Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2011Description: 1 online resource (xxviii, 141 p.) : col. ill.ISBN: 9780833052476 (electronic bk.); 0833052470 (electronic bk.).Report number: MG-1091-AFSubject(s): Balance of power -- Forecasting | United States. Armed Forces -- Manpower -- Forecasting | United States -- Military policy -- Forecasting | United States -- Population -- Forecasting | HISTORY / Military / Other | TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Military ScienceGenre/Form: Electronic books.Additional physical formats: Print version:: Global demographic change and its implications for military power.DDC classification: 355/.033073 Online resources: EBSCOhost
Contents:
Introduction -- Numbers -- Long-term trends in national GDP -- The economic burden of aging populations -- The influence of demographics on the causes of war -- The impact of demographic trends on military power projection -- Implications.
Summary: What is the impact of demographics on the prospective production of military power and the causes of war? This monograph analyzes this issue by projecting working-age populations through 2050; assessing the influence of demographics on manpower, national income and expenditures, and human capital; and examining how changes in these factors may affect the ability of states to carry out military missions. It also looks at some implications of these changes for other aspects of international security. The authors find that the United States, alone of all the large affluent nations, will continue to see (modest) increases in its working-age population thanks to replacement-level fertility rates and a likely return to vigorous levels of immigration. Meanwhile, the working-age populations of Europe and Japan are slated to fall by as much as 10 to 15 percent by 2030 and as much as 30 to 40 percent by 2050. The United States will thus account for a larger percentage of the population of its Atlantic and Pacific alliances; in other words, the capacity of traditional alliances to multiply U.S. demographic power is likely to decline, perhaps sharply, through 2050. India's working-age population is likely to overtake China's by 2030. The United States, which has 4.7 percent of the world's working-age population, will still have 4.3 percent by 2050, and the current share of global gross domestic product accounted for by the U.S. economy is likely to stay quite high
Tags from this library: No tags from this library for this title. Log in to add tags.
No physical items for this record

Title from PDF title page (viewed on July 29, 2011).

"Prepared for the United States Air Force."

What is the impact of demographics on the prospective production of military power and the causes of war? This monograph analyzes this issue by projecting working-age populations through 2050; assessing the influence of demographics on manpower, national income and expenditures, and human capital; and examining how changes in these factors may affect the ability of states to carry out military missions. It also looks at some implications of these changes for other aspects of international security. The authors find that the United States, alone of all the large affluent nations, will continue to see (modest) increases in its working-age population thanks to replacement-level fertility rates and a likely return to vigorous levels of immigration. Meanwhile, the working-age populations of Europe and Japan are slated to fall by as much as 10 to 15 percent by 2030 and as much as 30 to 40 percent by 2050. The United States will thus account for a larger percentage of the population of its Atlantic and Pacific alliances; in other words, the capacity of traditional alliances to multiply U.S. demographic power is likely to decline, perhaps sharply, through 2050. India's working-age population is likely to overtake China's by 2030. The United States, which has 4.7 percent of the world's working-age population, will still have 4.3 percent by 2050, and the current share of global gross domestic product accounted for by the U.S. economy is likely to stay quite high

Includes bibliographical references (p. 131-141).

Introduction -- Numbers -- Long-term trends in national GDP -- The economic burden of aging populations -- The influence of demographics on the causes of war -- The impact of demographic trends on military power projection -- Implications.

Description based on print version record.

There are no comments for this item.

Log in to your account to post a comment.

Other editions of this work

Global demographic change and its implications for military power by Libicki, Martin C. ©2011
Library, Documentation and Information Science Division, Indian Statistical Institute, 203 B T Road, Kolkata 700108, INDIA
Phone no. 91-33-2575 2100, Fax no. 91-33-2578 1412, ksatpathy@isical.ac.in


Visitor Counter