Risk assessment and evaluation of predictions / [edited by] Mei-Ling Ting Lee...[et al.].

"On October 12-14, 2011, the Biostatistics and Risk Assessment Center (BRAC) and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics of the University of Maryland hosted an international conference entitled "Risk assessment and evaluation of predictions ... held in Silver Spring, Maryland ... This volume presents a broad spectrum of articles presented at the conference"--Page v.

Includes bibliographical references.

Part I Risk assessment in lifetime data alalysis: Non-proportionality of hazards in the competing risks framework ;
Semiparametric inference on the absolute risk reduction and the restricted mean survival difference ;
Connecting threshold regression and accelerated failure time models ;
Residuals and functional form in accelerated life regression ; Neyman, Markov processes and survival analysis ;
Quantiles of residual survival;

Part II Evaluation of predictions:
Methods for evaluating prediction performance of biomarkers and tests ;
Estimating improvements in prediction with matched case-control designs ;
ROC analysis for multiple markers with tree-based classification ;
Assessing discrimination of risk prediction rules in a clustered data setting ;
Time-dependent AUC with right-censored data : a survey ; Subgroup specific incremental value of new markers for risk prediction;

Part III Applications:
Assessing the effects of imprinting and maternal genotypes on complex genetic traits ;
Competing risks models and breast cancer : a brief review ; Quantifying relative potency in dose-response studies ; Development and validation of exposure biomarkers to dietary contaminants mycotoxins : a case for aflatoxin and impaired child growth ;
Pharmaceutical risk assessment and predictive enrichment to maximize benefit and minimize risk : issues in product life cycle evaluation ;
A multiple imputation approach for the evaluation of surrogate markers in the principal stratification causal inference framework ;
Mapping return values of extreme wind speeds ;
Decision analysis methods for selecting consumer services with attribute value uncertainty ;
Evaluating incremental values form new predictors with net reclassification improvement in survival analysis.

Methods of risk analysis and the outcome of particular evaluations and predictions are covered in detail in this volume. Contributions are based on invited presentations from Professor Mei-Ling Ting Lee's 2011 Symposium on Risk Analysis and the Evaluation of Predictions.