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Breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis / [edited by] Louis Anthony Cox, Jr.

Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: Wiley essentials in operations research and management sciencePublication details: New Jersey : John Wiley, c2015.Description: xii, 316 p. : illustrations ; 25 cmISBN:
  • 9781118217160
Subject(s): DDC classification:
  • 658.403 23 C877
Contents:
1. Introduction -- 2. The ways we decide: reconciling hearts and minds -- 3. Simulation optimization: improving decisions under uncertainty -- 4. Optimal learning in business decisions -- 5. Using preference orderings to make quantitative trade-offs -- 6. Causal analysis and modeling for decision and risk analysis -- 7. Making decisions without trustworthy risk models -- 8. Medical decision-making: an application -- 9. Electric power vulnerability models: form protection to resilience -- 10. Outthinking the terrorists -- Index.
Summary: With a simple and clear exposition, Breakthroughs in Decision Science and Risk Analysis details recent advances in the theory, methods, and applications of decision and risk analysis that can significantly change and improve how we learn from important practical decisions.
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Includes bibliographical references and index.

1. Introduction --
2. The ways we decide: reconciling hearts and minds --
3. Simulation optimization: improving decisions under uncertainty --
4. Optimal learning in business decisions --
5. Using preference orderings to make quantitative trade-offs --
6. Causal analysis and modeling for decision and risk analysis --
7. Making decisions without trustworthy risk models --
8. Medical decision-making: an application --
9. Electric power vulnerability models: form protection to resilience --
10. Outthinking the terrorists --
Index.

With a simple and clear exposition, Breakthroughs in Decision Science and Risk Analysis details recent advances in the theory, methods, and applications of decision and risk analysis that can significantly change and improve how we learn from important practical decisions.

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