TY - BOOK AU - Franses,Philip Hans TI - Periodicity and stochastic trends in economic time series T2 - Advanced texts in econometrics SN - 9780198774549 (alk. paper) U1 - 330.015195 23 PY - 2003/// CY - Oxford PB - Oxford University Press KW - Econometrics KW - Time-series analysis KW - Stochastic analysis KW - Cycles N1 - Includes bibliographical references and indexes; 1. Introduction -- 2. Concepts in time series analysis -- 3. An introduction to seasonal time series -- 4. Seasonal adjustment -- 5. Seasonal integration and cointegration -- 6. Are seasons, trends, and cycles always independent? -- 7. Periodic autoregressive time series models -- 8. Periodic integration -- 9. Periodic cointegration -- 10. Conclusion N2 - This text provides a self-contained account of periodic models for seasonally observed economic time series with stochastic trends. The analysis considers econometric theory, Monte Carlo simulation and forecasting, and it is illuminated with empirical time series ER -